Examining macroeconomic indicators is one of the most important issues in evaluating the performance of the perspective period. It is one of the key indicators in evaluating the economic situation of any country. In Iran, this indicator also plays an important role in determining the path of economic and international growth. Therefore, the purpose of this article is to examine Iran's performance in the twenty-year perspective period of 1404. The research period was from 2005 to 2024, and the autoregressive interval distribution model was used to estimate the model. Statistical studies show that; In 2016 (1395), when Iran's export growth rate was 27.42 percent, it managed to achieve the first position in the region in terms of this indicator. On the other hand, the worst growth rate in this period was also related to 2012 (1391), with a negative 20.99 percent. In this year, Iran's position among the countries of the region was 15th. Also, the results of estimating the export equation based on the autoregressive interval distribution model for the period 2005 to 2023 show that the main reasons for Iran's unfavorable position among the countries of the region in the field of export index and the poor performance of this variable were influenced by the sharp growth of the exchange rate, lack of economic growth, sanctions from 2012 to 2015 and sanctions from 2018 to 2021. In addition, the coronavirus has also had a negative effect on the performance of this index.