عنوان مقاله [English]
According to official statistics published by the Customs of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the amount of exports of industrial sectors in the first 4 months of 1399 compared to the same period in 1398, decreased by an average of 28%. In this article, using the latest social accounting matrix (SAM) in 2016, assuming the continuation of this trend throughout the year, the effects and consequences of shock reduction of non-oil exports following the outbreak of Corona virus on economic sectors production and income distribution it will be counted. These results then serve as the basis for identifying the five important origin and destination segments for applying the structural path path analysis approach to impact chains. Also, important paths of impact of export reduction on 5 economic sub-sectors have been identified in the framework of structural path analysis approach. The findings of the present paper show that, firstly, the total output decreases by 6.49%. Second, the functional distribution of income changes to the detriment of operating surplus and compensation for employee services, so that they experience a decrease of 5.63 and 3.84 percent, respectively, while mixed income decreases only 2.79 percent. Third, with a 3.23 percent decline in urban household income and a 2.98 percent decline in rural household income, the institutional distribution of income also changes to the detriment of urban households. Fourth, the explanations of the major paths of impact identified using the structural path analysis approach range from 45% to more than 99%.